Povltavska FA vs Sparta Prague B Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Povltavska FA vs Sparta Prague B
Model pick: Draw (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.59 – 0.77
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 28%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Povltavska FA | Sparta Prague B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Povltavska FA shown at home, Sparta Prague B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Povltavska FA — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Sparta Prague B — last 5
WLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Povltavska FA (home) | Sparta Prague B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.59 vs 0.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (26%) |
| Double chance — Povltavska FA or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Sparta Prague B or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 61% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Povltavska FA clean sheet | 46% |
| Sparta Prague B clean sheet | 55% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (72% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Povltavska FA vs Sparta Prague B — FAQ
Who will win Povltavska FA vs Sparta Prague B?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Povltavska FA 26%, draw 38%, Sparta Prague B 36%.
Will both teams score in Povltavska FA vs Sparta Prague B?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Povltavska FA vs Sparta Prague B?
Expected goals are 0.59 for Povltavska FA and 0.77 for Sparta Prague B — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Povltavska FA vs Sparta Prague B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (26%). Double chance for Povltavska FA or draw is 64%.