Preußen Münster vs Havelse Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Preußen Münster vs Havelse
Model pick: Preußen Münster (69%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.91 – 1.1
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Preußen Münster | Havelse |
|---|
| League position | #18 (30 pts) | #14 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
*Preußen Münster shown at home, Havelse shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Preußen Münster — last 5
WLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Havelse — last 5
DLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Preußen Münster (home) | Havelse (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 68% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Etienne Amenyido (6) | Nassim Boujellab (5) |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.91 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Preußen Münster or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Havelse or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Preußen Münster clean sheet | 33% |
| Havelse clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Preußen Münster is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Preußen Münster are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Preußen Münster vs Havelse — FAQ
Who will win Preußen Münster vs Havelse?
Our statistical model makes Preußen Münster the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Preußen Münster 69%, draw 17%, Havelse 14%.
Will both teams score in Preußen Münster vs Havelse?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Preußen Münster vs Havelse?
Expected goals are 2.91 for Preußen Münster and 1.1 for Havelse — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Preußen Münster vs Havelse?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Preußen Münster or draw is 89%.