Prospect United vs Hurstville Zagreb Prediction & Preview
New South Wales League One (Australia) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NEW SOUTH WALES LEAGUE ONE (AUSTRALIA)
Prospect United vs Hurstville Zagreb
Model pick: Prospect United (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Prospect United | Hurstville Zagreb |
|---|
| League position | #16 (23 pts) | #11 (33 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 21% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 2.6 |
*Prospect United shown at home, Hurstville Zagreb shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Prospect United — last 5
DLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Hurstville Zagreb — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Prospect United (home) | Hurstville Zagreb (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-9-5 in 14 (0.9 / 1.4 goals per game) | 3-2-9 in 14 (1.4 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
New South Wales League One (Australia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 41%
Over 2.5: 73%
BTTS: 73%
Use these New South Wales League One (Australia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.54 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Prospect United or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Hurstville Zagreb or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Prospect United clean sheet | 31% |
| Hurstville Zagreb clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Prospect United is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Prospect United are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Prospect United vs Hurstville Zagreb — FAQ
Who will win Prospect United vs Hurstville Zagreb?
Our statistical model makes Prospect United the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Prospect United 44%, draw 26%, Hurstville Zagreb 30%.
Will both teams score in Prospect United vs Hurstville Zagreb?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Prospect United vs Hurstville Zagreb?
Expected goals are 1.54 for Prospect United and 1.18 for Hurstville Zagreb — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Prospect United vs Hurstville Zagreb?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Prospect United or draw is 71%.