PSV II vs TOP Oss Prediction & Preview
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Aug 24, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EERSTE DIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
PSV II vs TOP Oss
Model pick: PSV II (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.91 – 1.22
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| PSV II | TOP Oss |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.8 | 1.4 / 3.6 |
*PSV II shown at home, TOP Oss shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
PSV II — last 5
LLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
TOP Oss — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | PSV II (home) | TOP Oss (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Sami Bouhoudane (6) | – |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.14
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.91 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — PSV II or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — TOP Oss or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| PSV II clean sheet | 30% |
| TOP Oss clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
PSV II is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. PSV II are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ PSV II vs TOP Oss — FAQ
Who will win PSV II vs TOP Oss?
Our statistical model makes PSV II the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: PSV II 50%, draw 24%, TOP Oss 26%.
Will both teams score in PSV II vs TOP Oss?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in PSV II vs TOP Oss?
Expected goals are 1.91 for PSV II and 1.22 for TOP Oss — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in PSV II vs TOP Oss?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for PSV II or draw is 76%.