PSV II vs Volendam Prediction & Preview
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Aug 10, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EERSTE DIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
PSV II vs Volendam
Model pick: Volendam (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.55 – 2.29
Total goals: 3.8
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| PSV II | Volendam |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #16 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 2.0 |
*PSV II shown at home, Volendam shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
PSV II — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Volendam — last 5
LLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | PSV II (home) | Volendam (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 62% |
| Top scorer | Sami Bouhoudane (6) | – |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.14
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.55 vs 2.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — PSV II or draw (1X) | 46% |
| Double chance — Volendam or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| PSV II clean sheet | 10% |
| Volendam clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Volendam is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Despite playing away, Volendam edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.8, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ PSV II vs Volendam — FAQ
Who will win PSV II vs Volendam?
Our statistical model makes Volendam the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: PSV II 27%, draw 22%, Volendam 51%.
Will both teams score in PSV II vs Volendam?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in PSV II vs Volendam?
Expected goals are 1.55 for PSV II and 2.29 for Volendam — about 3.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in PSV II vs Volendam?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for PSV II or draw is 46%.