PSV Neumunster vs Kilia Kiel Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
PSV Neumunster vs Kilia Kiel
Model pick: Kilia Kiel (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 1.59
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| PSV Neumunster | Kilia Kiel |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*PSV Neumunster shown at home, Kilia Kiel shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
PSV Neumunster — last 5
LDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kilia Kiel — last 5
WDWLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | PSV Neumunster (home) | Kilia Kiel (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.54
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 1.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — PSV Neumunster or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Kilia Kiel or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| PSV Neumunster clean sheet | 20% |
| Kilia Kiel clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kilia Kiel is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Despite playing away, Kilia Kiel edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ PSV Neumunster vs Kilia Kiel — FAQ
Who will win PSV Neumunster vs Kilia Kiel?
Our statistical model makes Kilia Kiel the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: PSV Neumunster 29%, draw 26%, Kilia Kiel 45%.
Will both teams score in PSV Neumunster vs Kilia Kiel?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in PSV Neumunster vs Kilia Kiel?
Expected goals are 1.17 for PSV Neumunster and 1.59 for Kilia Kiel — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in PSV Neumunster vs Kilia Kiel?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for PSV Neumunster or draw is 53%.