PTE-PEAC vs Paks II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
PTE-PEAC vs Paks II
Model pick: PTE-PEAC (68%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.75 – 1.03
Total goals: 3.8
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| PTE-PEAC | Paks II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 2.8 |
*PTE-PEAC shown at home, Paks II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
PTE-PEAC — last 5
WLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Paks II — last 5
LDLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | PTE-PEAC (home) | Paks II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.75 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — PTE-PEAC or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Paks II or draw (X2) | 27% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| PTE-PEAC clean sheet | 36% |
| Paks II clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
PTE-PEAC is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. PTE-PEAC are backed at home, where they average 3.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.8, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ PTE-PEAC vs Paks II — FAQ
Who will win PTE-PEAC vs Paks II?
Our statistical model makes PTE-PEAC the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: PTE-PEAC 68%, draw 18%, Paks II 14%.
Will both teams score in PTE-PEAC vs Paks II?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in PTE-PEAC vs Paks II?
Expected goals are 2.75 for PTE-PEAC and 1.03 for Paks II — about 3.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in PTE-PEAC vs Paks II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for PTE-PEAC or draw is 88%.