Puchov vs FKM Nove Zamky Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Puchov vs FKM Nove Zamky
Model pick: Draw (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.55 – 0.35
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 18%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Puchov | FKM Nove Zamky |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
*Puchov shown at home, FKM Nove Zamky shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Puchov — last 5
DDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
FKM Nove Zamky — last 5
DDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Puchov (home) | FKM Nove Zamky (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% |
3 Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.58
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 59%
Use these 3 Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.55 vs 0.35):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (41%) |
| Double chance — Puchov or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — FKM Nove Zamky or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 51% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Puchov clean sheet | 70% |
| FKM Nove Zamky clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (82% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Puchov vs FKM Nove Zamky — FAQ
Who will win Puchov vs FKM Nove Zamky?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Puchov 33%, draw 47%, FKM Nove Zamky 20%.
Will both teams score in Puchov vs FKM Nove Zamky?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Puchov vs FKM Nove Zamky?
Expected goals are 0.55 for Puchov and 0.35 for FKM Nove Zamky — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Puchov vs FKM Nove Zamky?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (41%). Double chance for Puchov or draw is 81%.