Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui Prediction & Preview
Primera C Metro (Argentina) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA C METRO (ARGENTINA)
Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui
Model pick: Puerto Nuevo (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 0.39
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Puerto Nuevo | Yupanqui |
|---|
| League position | #6 (34 pts) | #4 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 27% | 45% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Puerto Nuevo shown at home, Yupanqui shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Puerto Nuevo — last 5
WLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Yupanqui — last 5
LDDLW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Puerto Nuevo (home) | Yupanqui (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-4-4 in 11 (0.9 / 1.3 goals per game) | 5-3-3 in 11 (1.4 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 67% |
Primera C Metro (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.74
Home wins: 32%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 24%
BTTS: 33%
Use these Primera C Metro (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 0.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Puerto Nuevo or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Yupanqui or draw (X2) | 35% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Puerto Nuevo clean sheet | 68% |
| Yupanqui clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Puerto Nuevo is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Puerto Nuevo are backed at home, where they average 0.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui — FAQ
Who will win Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui?
Our statistical model makes Puerto Nuevo the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Puerto Nuevo 60%, draw 28%, Yupanqui 12%.
Will both teams score in Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui?
Expected goals are 1.47 for Puerto Nuevo and 0.39 for Yupanqui — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (23%). Double chance for Puerto Nuevo or draw is 90%.