Puskás vs Ferencvaros Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Puskás vs Ferencvaros
Model pick: Ferencvaros (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.09 – 1.43
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Puskás | Ferencvaros |
|---|
| League position | #1 (12 pts) | #12 (15 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 0.6 |
*Puskás shown at home, Ferencvaros shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Puskás — last 5
WLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Ferencvaros — last 5
WLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 36% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Puskás (home) | Ferencvaros (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | 2-1-1 in 4 (1.2 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 53% |
| Top scorer | – | Lenny Joseph (2) |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.09 vs 1.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Puskás or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Ferencvaros or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Puskás clean sheet | 24% |
| Ferencvaros clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ferencvaros is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Ferencvaros edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Puskás vs Ferencvaros — FAQ
Who will win Puskás vs Ferencvaros?
Our statistical model makes Ferencvaros the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Puskás 30%, draw 28%, Ferencvaros 43%.
Will both teams score in Puskás vs Ferencvaros?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Puskás vs Ferencvaros?
Expected goals are 1.09 for Puskás and 1.43 for Ferencvaros — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Puskás vs Ferencvaros?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Puskás or draw is 55%.