Puskás vs Kisvárda Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Puskás vs Kisvárda
Model pick: Puskás (52%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.62 – 0.85
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Puskás | Kisvárda |
|---|
| League position | #11 (0 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Puskás shown at home, Kisvárda shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Puskás — last 5
WDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Kisvárda — last 5
LWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Puskás (home) | Kisvárda (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.62 vs 0.85):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Puskás or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Kisvárda or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Puskás clean sheet | 43% |
| Kisvárda clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Puskás is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Puskás are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Puskás vs Kisvárda — FAQ
Who will win Puskás vs Kisvárda?
Our statistical model makes Puskás the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Puskás 52%, draw 26%, Kisvárda 22%.
Will both teams score in Puskás vs Kisvárda?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Puskás vs Kisvárda?
Expected goals are 1.62 for Puskás and 0.85 for Kisvárda — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Puskás vs Kisvárda?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Puskás or draw is 80%.