Puskás vs Paksi SE Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Puskás vs Paksi SE
Model pick: Puskás (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 1.39
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Puskás | Paksi SE |
|---|
| League position | #2 (6 pts) | #7 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 5.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 2.6 |
*Puskás shown at home, Paksi SE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Puskás — last 5
DLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Paksi SE — last 5
LWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Puskás (home) | Paksi SE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 5.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 60% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 1.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Puskás or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Paksi SE or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Puskás clean sheet | 25% |
| Paksi SE clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Puskás is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Puskás are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Puskás vs Paksi SE — FAQ
Who will win Puskás vs Paksi SE?
Our statistical model makes Puskás the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Puskás 44%, draw 25%, Paksi SE 31%.
Will both teams score in Puskás vs Paksi SE?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Puskás vs Paksi SE?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Puskás and 1.39 for Paksi SE — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Puskás vs Paksi SE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Puskás or draw is 69%.