Pusta Polom vs Zabreh Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Pusta Polom vs Zabreh
Model pick: Zabreh (93%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.57 – 4.72
Total goals: 5.3
Over 2.5: 77%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pusta Polom | Zabreh |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.5 | 2.8 / 1.8 |
*Pusta Polom shown at home, Zabreh shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pusta Polom — last 5
WL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Zabreh — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pusta Polom (home) | Zabreh (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.45
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 69%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.57 vs 4.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-4 (11%) |
| Double chance — Pusta Polom or draw (1X) | 4% |
| Double chance — Zabreh or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Pusta Polom clean sheet | 1% |
| Zabreh clean sheet | 57% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zabreh is the model's most likely outcome at
93%. Despite playing away, Zabreh edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.3, this shapes as an open game (77% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Pusta Polom vs Zabreh — FAQ
Who will win Pusta Polom vs Zabreh?
Our statistical model makes Zabreh the most likely result at 93%. Full probabilities: Pusta Polom 2%, draw 5%, Zabreh 93%.
Will both teams score in Pusta Polom vs Zabreh?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pusta Polom vs Zabreh?
Expected goals are 0.57 for Pusta Polom and 4.72 for Zabreh — about 5.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pusta Polom vs Zabreh?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-4 (11%). Double chance for Pusta Polom or draw is 4%.