Pyramids vs Abu Qir Semad Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Egypt) · Aug 27, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (EGYPT)
Pyramids vs Abu Qir Semad
Model pick: Draw (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.16 – 0.65
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 16%
Both teams score: 25%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pyramids | Abu Qir Semad |
|---|
| League position | #2 (43 pts) | #3 (58 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 70% | 35% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
*Pyramids shown at home, Abu Qir Semad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pyramids — last 5
WWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 42% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Abu Qir Semad — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pyramids (home) | Abu Qir Semad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-1-2 in 10 (1.5 / 0.5 goals per game) | 6-8-3 in 17 (1.1 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 42% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
Premier League (Egypt) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Premier League (Egypt) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.16 vs 0.65):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (44%) |
| Double chance — Pyramids or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Abu Qir Semad or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 51% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Pyramids clean sheet | 52% |
| Abu Qir Semad clean sheet | 85% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (84% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pyramids vs Abu Qir Semad — FAQ
Who will win Pyramids vs Abu Qir Semad?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Pyramids 10%, draw 48%, Abu Qir Semad 42%.
Will both teams score in Pyramids vs Abu Qir Semad?
The model gives a 25% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pyramids vs Abu Qir Semad?
Expected goals are 0.16 for Pyramids and 0.65 for Abu Qir Semad — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pyramids vs Abu Qir Semad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (44%). Double chance for Pyramids or draw is 57%.