Pyunik Yerevan vs Debrecen Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Jul 30, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Pyunik Yerevan vs Debrecen
Model pick: Debrecen (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.08 – 0.86
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 19%
Both teams score: 21%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pyunik Yerevan | Debrecen |
|---|
| League position | #2 (0 pts) | #4 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.75 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Pyunik Yerevan shown at home, Debrecen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pyunik Yerevan — last 5
LWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Debrecen — last 5
WDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pyunik Yerevan (home) | Debrecen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 56% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.71
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.08 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (39%) |
| Double chance — Pyunik Yerevan or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Debrecen or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 58% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Pyunik Yerevan clean sheet | 42% |
| Debrecen clean sheet | 92% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Debrecen is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Debrecen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (81% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pyunik Yerevan vs Debrecen — FAQ
Who will win Pyunik Yerevan vs Debrecen?
Our statistical model makes Debrecen the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Pyunik Yerevan 5%, draw 42%, Debrecen 53%.
Will both teams score in Pyunik Yerevan vs Debrecen?
The model gives a 21% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pyunik Yerevan vs Debrecen?
Expected goals are 0.08 for Pyunik Yerevan and 0.86 for Debrecen — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pyunik Yerevan vs Debrecen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (39%). Double chance for Pyunik Yerevan or draw is 45%.