Qingdao Manatee vs Tianjin Teda Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Qingdao Manatee vs Tianjin Teda
Model pick: Tianjin Teda (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.24 – 1.32
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Qingdao Manatee | Tianjin Teda |
|---|
| League position | #14 (14 pts) | #15 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Qingdao Manatee shown at home, Tianjin Teda shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Qingdao Manatee — last 5
DDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Tianjin Teda — last 5
DLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Qingdao Manatee (home) | Tianjin Teda (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-2 in 9 (1.9 / 1.2 goals per game) | 3-3-3 in 9 (1.3 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 50% |
| Top scorer | Malcom Edjouma (6) | Alberto Quiles (7) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.24 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Qingdao Manatee or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Tianjin Teda or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Qingdao Manatee clean sheet | 27% |
| Tianjin Teda clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tianjin Teda is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Tianjin Teda edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Qingdao Manatee vs Tianjin Teda — FAQ
Who will win Qingdao Manatee vs Tianjin Teda?
Our statistical model makes Tianjin Teda the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Qingdao Manatee 35%, draw 28%, Tianjin Teda 37%.
Will both teams score in Qingdao Manatee vs Tianjin Teda?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Qingdao Manatee vs Tianjin Teda?
Expected goals are 1.24 for Qingdao Manatee and 1.32 for Tianjin Teda — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Qingdao Manatee vs Tianjin Teda?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Qingdao Manatee or draw is 61%.