Qingdao Manatee vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 09:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Qingdao Manatee vs Wuhan Three Towns
Model pick: Wuhan Three Towns (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.47
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Qingdao Manatee | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|
| League position | #16 (14 pts) | #15 (16 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 45% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Qingdao Manatee shown at home, Wuhan Three Towns shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Qingdao Manatee — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Wuhan Three Towns — last 5
DWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Qingdao Manatee (home) | Wuhan Three Towns (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-4 in 11 (1.5 / 1.3 goals per game) | 0-6-5 in 11 (1.4 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Malcom Edjouma (6) | Jhonder Cadiz (13) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 1.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Qingdao Manatee or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Wuhan Three Towns or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Qingdao Manatee clean sheet | 23% |
| Wuhan Three Towns clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wuhan Three Towns is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Wuhan Three Towns edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Qingdao Manatee vs Wuhan Three Towns — FAQ
Who will win Qingdao Manatee vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Our statistical model makes Wuhan Three Towns the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Qingdao Manatee 35%, draw 27%, Wuhan Three Towns 38%.
Will both teams score in Qingdao Manatee vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Qingdao Manatee vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Expected goals are 1.22 for Qingdao Manatee and 1.47 for Wuhan Three Towns — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Qingdao Manatee vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Qingdao Manatee or draw is 57%.