Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Manatee Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Manatee
Model pick: Qingdao West Coast (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.81 – 0.98
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Qingdao West Coast | Qingdao Manatee |
|---|
| League position | #5 (28 pts) | #16 (14 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 30% | 10% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 3.0 |
*Qingdao West Coast shown at home, Qingdao Manatee shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Qingdao West Coast — last 5
WLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Qingdao Manatee — last 5
DLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Qingdao West Coast (home) | Qingdao Manatee (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-7-0 in 10 (1.3 / 0.9 goals per game) | 1-1-8 in 10 (1.3 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 44% |
| Top scorer | Nelson Da Luz (8) | Malcom Edjouma (6) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.81 vs 0.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Qingdao West Coast or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Qingdao Manatee or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Qingdao West Coast clean sheet | 38% |
| Qingdao Manatee clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Qingdao West Coast is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Qingdao West Coast are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Manatee — FAQ
Who will win Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Manatee?
Our statistical model makes Qingdao West Coast the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Qingdao West Coast 53%, draw 24%, Qingdao Manatee 22%.
Will both teams score in Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Manatee?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Manatee?
Expected goals are 1.81 for Qingdao West Coast and 0.98 for Qingdao Manatee — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Manatee?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%). Double chance for Qingdao West Coast or draw is 80%.