Quilmes vs San Telmo Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 22:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Quilmes vs San Telmo
Model pick: Quilmes (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.06 – 0.87
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Quilmes | San Telmo |
|---|
| League position | #12 (29 pts) | #14 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
*Quilmes shown at home, San Telmo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Quilmes — last 5
LLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
San Telmo — last 5
DLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 34% of the time; 31% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Quilmes (home) | San Telmo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-4-2 in 12 (1.1 / 0.4 goals per game) | 0-6-5 in 11 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 34% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 31% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.13
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.06 vs 0.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Quilmes or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — San Telmo or draw (X2) | 35% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Quilmes clean sheet | 42% |
| San Telmo clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Quilmes is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Quilmes are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Quilmes vs San Telmo — FAQ
Who will win Quilmes vs San Telmo?
Our statistical model makes Quilmes the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Quilmes 60%, draw 22%, San Telmo 17%.
Will both teams score in Quilmes vs San Telmo?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Quilmes vs San Telmo?
Expected goals are 2.06 for Quilmes and 0.87 for San Telmo — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Quilmes vs San Telmo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Quilmes or draw is 85%.