Quilmes vs Temperley Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Quilmes vs Temperley
Model pick: Temperley (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.77 – 1.14
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Quilmes | Temperley |
|---|
| League position | #10 (32 pts) | #3 (43 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 54% | 23% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
*Quilmes shown at home, Temperley shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Quilmes — last 5
LDWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
Temperley — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Quilmes (home) | Temperley (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-4-2 in 13 (1.2 / 0.4 goals per game) | 3-7-3 in 13 (0.5 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 46% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.16
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.77 vs 1.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — Quilmes or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Temperley or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Quilmes clean sheet | 32% |
| Temperley clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Temperley is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Temperley edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Quilmes vs Temperley — FAQ
Who will win Quilmes vs Temperley?
Our statistical model makes Temperley the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Quilmes 26%, draw 31%, Temperley 43%.
Will both teams score in Quilmes vs Temperley?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Quilmes vs Temperley?
Expected goals are 0.77 for Quilmes and 1.14 for Temperley — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Quilmes vs Temperley?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for Quilmes or draw is 56%.