Raca vs Samorin Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
Raca vs Samorin
Model pick: Draw (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.09 – 0.7
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 16%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Raca | Samorin |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #2 (12 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 3.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Raca shown at home, Samorin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Raca — last 5
DLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Samorin — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Raca (home) | Samorin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 2-0-0 in 2 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.09 vs 0.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (45%) |
| Double chance — Raca or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Samorin or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 52% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Raca clean sheet | 50% |
| Samorin clean sheet | 91% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (84% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Raca vs Samorin — FAQ
Who will win Raca vs Samorin?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Raca 6%, draw 48%, Samorin 46%.
Will both teams score in Raca vs Samorin?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Raca vs Samorin?
Expected goals are 0.09 for Raca and 0.7 for Samorin — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Raca vs Samorin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (45%). Double chance for Raca or draw is 53%.