Radcliffe vs Morecambe Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Radcliffe vs Morecambe
Model pick: Radcliffe (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 0.67
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Radcliffe | Morecambe |
|---|
| League position | #18 (0 pts) | #5 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Radcliffe shown at home, Morecambe shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Radcliffe — last 5
WDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 19% of the time; 69% of home games go over 2.5.
Morecambe — last 5
WDLDL
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Radcliffe (home) | Morecambe (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 19% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 56% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 0.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Radcliffe or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Morecambe or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Radcliffe clean sheet | 51% |
| Morecambe clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Radcliffe is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Radcliffe are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Radcliffe vs Morecambe — FAQ
Who will win Radcliffe vs Morecambe?
Our statistical model makes Radcliffe the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Radcliffe 48%, draw 30%, Morecambe 21%.
Will both teams score in Radcliffe vs Morecambe?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Radcliffe vs Morecambe?
Expected goals are 1.27 for Radcliffe and 0.67 for Morecambe — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Radcliffe vs Morecambe?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Radcliffe or draw is 80%.