Rade vs Drobak-Frogn Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Rade vs Drobak-Frogn
Model pick: Rade (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.04 – 0.77
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rade | Drobak-Frogn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 0.67 | 4.0 / 1.5 |
*Rade shown at home, Drobak-Frogn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rade — last 5
WWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Drobak-Frogn — last 5
WL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rade (home) | Drobak-Frogn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.73
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 78%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.04 vs 0.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Rade or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Drobak-Frogn or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Rade clean sheet | 46% |
| Drobak-Frogn clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rade is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Rade are backed at home, where they average 8.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rade vs Drobak-Frogn — FAQ
Who will win Rade vs Drobak-Frogn?
Our statistical model makes Rade the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Rade 62%, draw 22%, Drobak-Frogn 16%.
Will both teams score in Rade vs Drobak-Frogn?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rade vs Drobak-Frogn?
Expected goals are 2.04 for Rade and 0.77 for Drobak-Frogn — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rade vs Drobak-Frogn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (13%). Double chance for Rade or draw is 87%.