Rade vs SK Gjovik-Lyn Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Rade vs SK Gjovik-Lyn
Model pick: Rade (76%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.7 – 0.6
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rade | SK Gjovik-Lyn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.2 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 2.8 |
*Rade shown at home, SK Gjovik-Lyn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rade — last 5
WWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
SK Gjovik-Lyn — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rade (home) | SK Gjovik-Lyn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.58
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 79%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.7 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Rade or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — SK Gjovik-Lyn or draw (X2) | 18% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Rade clean sheet | 55% |
| SK Gjovik-Lyn clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rade is the model's most likely outcome at
76%. Rade are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rade vs SK Gjovik-Lyn — FAQ
Who will win Rade vs SK Gjovik-Lyn?
Our statistical model makes Rade the most likely result at 76%. Full probabilities: Rade 76%, draw 16%, SK Gjovik-Lyn 8%.
Will both teams score in Rade vs SK Gjovik-Lyn?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Rade vs SK Gjovik-Lyn?
Expected goals are 2.7 for Rade and 0.6 for SK Gjovik-Lyn — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rade vs SK Gjovik-Lyn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (13%). Double chance for Rade or draw is 94%.