Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun
Model pick: Radnički Kragujevac (72%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.3 – 0.55
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Radnički Kragujevac | Zemun |
|---|
| League position | #13 (0 pts) | #12 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
*Radnički Kragujevac shown at home, Zemun shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Radnički Kragujevac — last 5
LWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Zemun — last 5
LWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Radnički Kragujevac (home) | Zemun (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 50% |
| Top scorer | Ester Sokler (10) | – |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.3 vs 0.55):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Radnički Kragujevac or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Zemun or draw (X2) | 23% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Radnički Kragujevac clean sheet | 58% |
| Zemun clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Radnički Kragujevac is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Radnički Kragujevac are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun — FAQ
Who will win Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun?
Our statistical model makes Radnički Kragujevac the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Radnički Kragujevac 72%, draw 19%, Zemun 10%.
Will both teams score in Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun?
Expected goals are 2.3 for Radnički Kragujevac and 0.55 for Zemun — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Radnički Kragujevac vs Zemun?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (15%). Double chance for Radnički Kragujevac or draw is 93%.