Radnički Niš vs Partizan Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Radnički Niš vs Partizan
Model pick: Partizan (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.05 – 1.82
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Radnički Niš | Partizan |
|---|
| League position | #9 (3 pts) | #4 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.0 |
*Radnički Niš shown at home, Partizan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Radnički Niš — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Partizan — last 5
DWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 42% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Radnički Niš (home) | Partizan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 57% |
| Top scorer | Aleksandr Shestyuk (5) | – |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.05 vs 1.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Radnički Niš or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Partizan or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Radnički Niš clean sheet | 16% |
| Partizan clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Partizan is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Partizan edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Radnički Niš vs Partizan — FAQ
Who will win Radnički Niš vs Partizan?
Our statistical model makes Partizan the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Radnički Niš 23%, draw 25%, Partizan 52%.
Will both teams score in Radnički Niš vs Partizan?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Radnički Niš vs Partizan?
Expected goals are 1.05 for Radnički Niš and 1.82 for Partizan — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Radnički Niš vs Partizan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Radnički Niš or draw is 45%.