Radnički Niš vs Čukarički Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Radnički Niš vs Čukarički
Model pick: Čukarički (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.31
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Radnički Niš | Čukarički |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Radnički Niš shown at home, Čukarički shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Radnički Niš — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Čukarički — last 5
DDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Radnički Niš (home) | Čukarički (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Aleksandr Shestyuk (5) | Marko Docic (2) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 1.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Radnički Niš or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Čukarički or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Radnički Niš clean sheet | 27% |
| Čukarički clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Čukarički is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Čukarički edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Radnički Niš vs Čukarički — FAQ
Who will win Radnički Niš vs Čukarički?
Our statistical model makes Čukarički the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Radnički Niš 33%, draw 28%, Čukarički 39%.
Will both teams score in Radnički Niš vs Čukarički?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Radnički Niš vs Čukarički?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Radnički Niš and 1.31 for Čukarički — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Radnički Niš vs Čukarički?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Radnički Niš or draw is 60%.