Radnik Surdulica vs Čukarički Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Radnik Surdulica vs Čukarički
Model pick: Čukarički (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 1.27
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Radnik Surdulica | Čukarički |
|---|
| League position | #9 (8 pts) | #6 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
*Radnik Surdulica shown at home, Čukarički shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Radnik Surdulica — last 5
DLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Čukarički — last 5
WDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Radnik Surdulica (home) | Čukarički (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-0 in 3 (1.3 / 0.7 goals per game) | 1-1-1 in 3 (1.3 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Luka Zoric (3) | Marko Docic (2) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 1.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Radnik Surdulica or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Čukarički or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Radnik Surdulica clean sheet | 28% |
| Čukarički clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Čukarički is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Čukarički edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Radnik Surdulica vs Čukarički — FAQ
Who will win Radnik Surdulica vs Čukarički?
Our statistical model makes Čukarički the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Radnik Surdulica 31%, draw 29%, Čukarički 40%.
Will both teams score in Radnik Surdulica vs Čukarički?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Radnik Surdulica vs Čukarički?
Expected goals are 1.06 for Radnik Surdulica and 1.27 for Čukarički — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Radnik Surdulica vs Čukarički?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Radnik Surdulica or draw is 59%.