Radomlje vs Olimpija Prediction & Preview
1-SNL (Slovenia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-SNL (SLOVENIA)
Radomlje vs Olimpija
Model pick: Olimpija (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.93 – 1.71
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Radomlje | Olimpija |
|---|
| League position | #10 (4 pts) | #7 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.7 / 2.3 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.0 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
*Radomlje shown at home, Olimpija shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Radomlje — last 5
LDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 12% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Olimpija — last 5
LWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Radomlje (home) | Olimpija (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.7 / 2.3 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 12% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 42% |
1-SNL (Slovenia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 52%
Use these 1-SNL (Slovenia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.93 vs 1.71):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Radomlje or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — Olimpija or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Radomlje clean sheet | 18% |
| Olimpija clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Olimpija is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Despite playing away, Olimpija edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Radomlje vs Olimpija — FAQ
Who will win Radomlje vs Olimpija?
Our statistical model makes Olimpija the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Radomlje 23%, draw 26%, Olimpija 51%.
Will both teams score in Radomlje vs Olimpija?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Radomlje vs Olimpija?
Expected goals are 0.93 for Radomlje and 1.71 for Olimpija — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Radomlje vs Olimpija?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Double chance for Radomlje or draw is 44%.