Ragsved vs Haninge Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Ragsved vs Haninge
Model pick: Haninge (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.45 – 1.22
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ragsved | Haninge |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
*Ragsved shown at home, Haninge shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ragsved — last 5
DWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Haninge — last 5
LWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ragsved (home) | Haninge (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.45 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (23%) |
| Double chance — Ragsved or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — Haninge or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Ragsved clean sheet | 30% |
| Haninge clean sheet | 64% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Haninge is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Haninge edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ragsved vs Haninge — FAQ
Who will win Ragsved vs Haninge?
Our statistical model makes Haninge the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Ragsved 16%, draw 32%, Haninge 53%.
Will both teams score in Ragsved vs Haninge?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ragsved vs Haninge?
Expected goals are 0.45 for Ragsved and 1.22 for Haninge — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ragsved vs Haninge?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (23%). Double chance for Ragsved or draw is 44%.