Rakow II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Rakow II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
Model pick: Rakow II (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.43 – 1.22
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rakow II | Goczalkowice Zdroj |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 3.0 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*Rakow II shown at home, Goczalkowice Zdroj shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rakow II — last 5
LLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Goczalkowice Zdroj — last 5
DLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rakow II (home) | Goczalkowice Zdroj (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.43 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Rakow II or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Goczalkowice Zdroj or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Rakow II clean sheet | 30% |
| Goczalkowice Zdroj clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rakow II is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Rakow II are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rakow II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj — FAQ
Who will win Rakow II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj?
Our statistical model makes Rakow II the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Rakow II 40%, draw 27%, Goczalkowice Zdroj 32%.
Will both teams score in Rakow II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rakow II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj?
Expected goals are 1.43 for Rakow II and 1.22 for Goczalkowice Zdroj — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rakow II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Rakow II or draw is 68%.