Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Târgovişte Prediction & Preview
Romania Cup · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ROMANIA CUP
Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Târgovişte
Model pick: Chindia Târgovişte (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.04 – 0.71
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 15%
Both teams score: 15%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ramnicu Valcea | Chindia Târgovişte |
| League position | #7 (4 pts) | #10 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
*Ramnicu Valcea shown at home, Chindia Târgovişte shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ramnicu Valcea — last 5
LWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Chindia Târgovişte — last 5
DLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 32% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ramnicu Valcea (home) | Chindia Târgovişte (away) |
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 32% |
Romania Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.66
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 8%
Away wins: 52%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Romania Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.04 vs 0.71):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (47%) |
| Double chance — Ramnicu Valcea or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Chindia Târgovişte or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 51% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Ramnicu Valcea clean sheet | 49% |
| Chindia Târgovişte clean sheet | 96% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chindia Târgovişte is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Chindia Târgovişte edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (85% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Târgovişte — FAQ
Who will win Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Târgovişte?
Our statistical model makes Chindia Târgovişte the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Ramnicu Valcea 3%, draw 48%, Chindia Târgovişte 49%.
Will both teams score in Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Târgovişte?
The model gives a 15% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Târgovişte?
Expected goals are 0.04 for Ramnicu Valcea and 0.71 for Chindia Târgovişte — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Târgovişte?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (47%). Double chance for Ramnicu Valcea or draw is 51%.