Rangers vs Hibernian Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Scotland) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Rangers vs Hibernian
Model pick: Rangers (61%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.24 – 1.0
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rangers | Hibernian |
|---|
| League position | #32 (4 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
*Rangers shown at home, Hibernian shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rangers — last 5
LWWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Hibernian — last 5
WWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rangers (home) | Hibernian (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-2 in 4 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 48% |
Premier League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Premier League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.24 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Rangers or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Hibernian or draw (X2) | 35% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Rangers clean sheet | 37% |
| Hibernian clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rangers is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Rangers are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Rangers vs Hibernian — FAQ
Who will win Rangers vs Hibernian?
Our statistical model makes Rangers the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Rangers 61%, draw 22%, Hibernian 17%.
Will both teams score in Rangers vs Hibernian?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rangers vs Hibernian?
Expected goals are 2.24 for Rangers and 1.0 for Hibernian — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rangers vs Hibernian?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Rangers or draw is 84%.