Ranheim vs Haugesund Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Ranheim vs Haugesund
Model pick: Haugesund (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.99 – 2.24
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 69%
Both teams score: 71%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ranheim | Haugesund |
|---|
| League position | #7 (20 pts) | #2 (31 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.1 / 1.8 | 3.1 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 62% | 62% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 2.6 | 1.0 / 2.8 |
*Ranheim shown at home, Haugesund shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ranheim — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 19% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Haugesund — last 5
LLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ranheim (home) | Haugesund (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-1 in 8 (3.1 / 1.8 goals per game) | 5-0-3 in 8 (3.1 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 19% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 52% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.99 vs 2.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (7%) |
| Double chance — Ranheim or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Haugesund or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Ranheim clean sheet | 11% |
| Haugesund clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Haugesund is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, Haugesund edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (69% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ranheim vs Haugesund — FAQ
Who will win Ranheim vs Haugesund?
Our statistical model makes Haugesund the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Ranheim 33%, draw 22%, Haugesund 44%.
Will both teams score in Ranheim vs Haugesund?
The model gives a 71% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ranheim vs Haugesund?
Expected goals are 1.99 for Ranheim and 2.24 for Haugesund — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ranheim vs Haugesund?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (7%). Double chance for Ranheim or draw is 55%.