Rapid Wien vs Hearts Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 16:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Rapid Wien vs Hearts
Model pick: Rapid Wien (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.86 – 1.43
Total goals: 4.3
Over 2.5: 69%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rapid Wien | Hearts |
|---|
| League position | #1 (9 pts) | #4 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.5 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.6 / 0.8 | 2.8 / 2.2 |
*Rapid Wien shown at home, Hearts shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rapid Wien — last 5
WWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Hearts — last 5
LWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rapid Wien (home) | Hearts (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (4.5 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 52% |
| Top scorer | – | Claudio Braga (14) |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.86 vs 1.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Rapid Wien or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Hearts or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Rapid Wien clean sheet | 24% |
| Hearts clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rapid Wien is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Rapid Wien are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.3, this shapes as an open game (69% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Rapid Wien vs Hearts — FAQ
Who will win Rapid Wien vs Hearts?
Our statistical model makes Rapid Wien the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Rapid Wien 62%, draw 18%, Hearts 19%.
Will both teams score in Rapid Wien vs Hearts?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rapid Wien vs Hearts?
Expected goals are 2.86 for Rapid Wien and 1.43 for Hearts — about 4.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rapid Wien vs Hearts?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Rapid Wien or draw is 83%.