Rapid Wien vs Paide Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Rapid Wien vs Paide
Model pick: Rapid Wien (93%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.38 – 0.81
Total goals: 6.2
Over 2.5: 81%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rapid Wien | Paide |
|---|
| League position | #3 (3 pts) | #4 (35 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 2.0 |
*Rapid Wien shown at home, Paide shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rapid Wien — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Paide — last 5
LWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rapid Wien (home) | Paide (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 4-4-3 in 11 (1.8 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 57% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.38 vs 0.81):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Rapid Wien or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Paide or draw (X2) | 4% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Rapid Wien clean sheet | 44% |
| Paide clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rapid Wien is the model's most likely outcome at
93%. Rapid Wien are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.2, this shapes as an open game (81% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Rapid Wien vs Paide — FAQ
Who will win Rapid Wien vs Paide?
Our statistical model makes Rapid Wien the most likely result at 93%. Full probabilities: Rapid Wien 93%, draw 4%, Paide 2%.
Will both teams score in Rapid Wien vs Paide?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rapid Wien vs Paide?
Expected goals are 5.38 for Rapid Wien and 0.81 for Paide — about 6.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rapid Wien vs Paide?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-0 (9%). Double chance for Rapid Wien or draw is 99%.