Rathenow vs Neustrelitz Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Rathenow vs Neustrelitz
Model pick: Neustrelitz (70%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.13 – 1.53
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 27%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rathenow | Neustrelitz |
|---|
| League position | #15 (1 pts) | #7 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 2.4 |
*Rathenow shown at home, Neustrelitz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rathenow — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Neustrelitz — last 5
LWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rathenow (home) | Neustrelitz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.13 vs 1.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (29%) |
| Double chance — Rathenow or draw (1X) | 26% |
| Double chance — Neustrelitz or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Rathenow clean sheet | 22% |
| Neustrelitz clean sheet | 88% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Neustrelitz is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. Despite playing away, Neustrelitz edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rathenow vs Neustrelitz — FAQ
Who will win Rathenow vs Neustrelitz?
Our statistical model makes Neustrelitz the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: Rathenow 4%, draw 26%, Neustrelitz 70%.
Will both teams score in Rathenow vs Neustrelitz?
The model gives a 27% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Rathenow vs Neustrelitz?
Expected goals are 0.13 for Rathenow and 1.53 for Neustrelitz — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rathenow vs Neustrelitz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (29%). Double chance for Rathenow or draw is 26%.