Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf
Model pick: Raufoss (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.81 – 1.11
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Raufoss | Sandnes Ulf |
|---|
| League position | #15 (16 pts) | #12 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.4 | 0.8 / 3.0 |
*Raufoss shown at home, Sandnes Ulf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Raufoss — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Sandnes Ulf — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Raufoss (home) | Sandnes Ulf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-1-5 in 9 (1.4 / 1.6 goals per game) | 2-1-6 in 9 (1.0 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 57% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.81 vs 1.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Raufoss or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Sandnes Ulf or draw (X2) | 46% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Raufoss clean sheet | 33% |
| Sandnes Ulf clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Raufoss is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Raufoss are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf — FAQ
Who will win Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf?
Our statistical model makes Raufoss the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Raufoss 51%, draw 25%, Sandnes Ulf 25%.
Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf?
Expected goals are 1.81 for Raufoss and 1.11 for Sandnes Ulf — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Raufoss or draw is 77%.