Raufoss vs Åsane Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Raufoss vs Åsane
Model pick: Raufoss (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.62 – 1.33
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Raufoss | Åsane |
|---|
| League position | #14 (16 pts) | #16 (13 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 2.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 38% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 3.0 |
*Raufoss shown at home, Åsane shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Raufoss — last 5
DWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Åsane — last 5
DLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Raufoss (home) | Åsane (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-1-4 in 8 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-1-7 in 8 (0.6 / 2.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 57% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.62 vs 1.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Raufoss or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Åsane or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Raufoss clean sheet | 26% |
| Åsane clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Raufoss is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Raufoss are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Raufoss vs Åsane — FAQ
Who will win Raufoss vs Åsane?
Our statistical model makes Raufoss the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Raufoss 47%, draw 25%, Åsane 28%.
Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Åsane?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Raufoss vs Åsane?
Expected goals are 1.62 for Raufoss and 1.33 for Åsane — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Raufoss vs Åsane?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Raufoss or draw is 69%.