Rayong vs Prachuap Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Thailand) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (THAILAND)
Rayong vs Prachuap
Model pick: Rayong (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.4
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rayong | Prachuap |
|---|
| League position | #14 (0 pts) | #9 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Rayong shown at home, Prachuap shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rayong — last 5
LDWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 16% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Prachuap — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rayong (home) | Prachuap (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 16% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 54% |
| Top scorer | Mendes Kaka (7) | Edgar Mendez (6) |
Premier League (Thailand) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Premier League (Thailand) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.58 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Rayong or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Prachuap or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Rayong clean sheet | 25% |
| Prachuap clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rayong is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Rayong are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rayong vs Prachuap — FAQ
Who will win Rayong vs Prachuap?
Our statistical model makes Rayong the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Rayong 41%, draw 26%, Prachuap 34%.
Will both teams score in Rayong vs Prachuap?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rayong vs Prachuap?
Expected goals are 1.58 for Rayong and 1.4 for Prachuap — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rayong vs Prachuap?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Rayong or draw is 66%.