Real Valladolid vs FC Andorra Prediction & Preview
Segunda (Spain) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA (SPAIN)
Real Valladolid vs FC Andorra
Model pick: Real Valladolid (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.13
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Real Valladolid | FC Andorra |
|---|
| League position | #19 (1 pts) | #13 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 2.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 2.0 |
*Real Valladolid shown at home, FC Andorra shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Real Valladolid — last 5
WWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
FC Andorra — last 5
WLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Real Valladolid (home) | FC Andorra (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 41% |
Segunda (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.29
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Segunda (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.33 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Real Valladolid or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — FC Andorra or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Real Valladolid clean sheet | 32% |
| FC Andorra clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Real Valladolid is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Real Valladolid are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Real Valladolid vs FC Andorra — FAQ
Who will win Real Valladolid vs FC Andorra?
Our statistical model makes Real Valladolid the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Real Valladolid 40%, draw 28%, FC Andorra 32%.
Will both teams score in Real Valladolid vs FC Andorra?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Real Valladolid vs FC Andorra?
Expected goals are 1.33 for Real Valladolid and 1.13 for FC Andorra — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Real Valladolid vs FC Andorra?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Real Valladolid or draw is 68%.