Örebro vs Oddevold Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Jul 27, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Örebro vs Oddevold
Model pick: Örebro (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.25
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Örebro | Oddevold |
|---|
| League position | #14 (14 pts) | #9 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 29% | 43% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
*Örebro shown at home, Oddevold shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Örebro — last 5
DLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Oddevold — last 5
LDDLL
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Örebro (home) | Oddevold (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-3 in 7 (0.9 / 1.3 goals per game) | 3-2-2 in 7 (2.3 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 50% |
| Top scorer | – | Leonardo Shahin (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Örebro or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Oddevold or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Örebro clean sheet | 29% |
| Oddevold clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Örebro is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Örebro are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Örebro vs Oddevold — FAQ
Who will win Örebro vs Oddevold?
Our statistical model makes Örebro the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Örebro 41%, draw 27%, Oddevold 32%.
Will both teams score in Örebro vs Oddevold?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Örebro vs Oddevold?
Expected goals are 1.47 for Örebro and 1.25 for Oddevold — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Örebro vs Oddevold?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Örebro or draw is 68%.