Redditch vs Bromsgrove Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Redditch vs Bromsgrove
Model pick: Bromsgrove (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.87 – 1.17
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Redditch | Bromsgrove |
|---|
| League position | #13 (3 pts) | #6 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Redditch shown at home, Bromsgrove shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Redditch — last 5
DWDDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Bromsgrove — last 5
WLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Redditch (home) | Bromsgrove (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.87 vs 1.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (15%) |
| Double chance — Redditch or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Bromsgrove or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Redditch clean sheet | 31% |
| Bromsgrove clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bromsgrove is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Bromsgrove edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Redditch vs Bromsgrove — FAQ
Who will win Redditch vs Bromsgrove?
Our statistical model makes Bromsgrove the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Redditch 28%, draw 30%, Bromsgrove 41%.
Will both teams score in Redditch vs Bromsgrove?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Redditch vs Bromsgrove?
Expected goals are 0.87 for Redditch and 1.17 for Bromsgrove — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Redditch vs Bromsgrove?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (15%). Double chance for Redditch or draw is 57%.