Regensburg II vs Ammerthal Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 27, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Regensburg II vs Ammerthal
Model pick: Ammerthal (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.66 – 0.96
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Regensburg II | Ammerthal |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.2 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Regensburg II shown at home, Ammerthal shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Regensburg II — last 5
LWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Ammerthal — last 5
DLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Regensburg II (home) | Ammerthal (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.46
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.66 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Regensburg II or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Ammerthal or draw (X2) | 76% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Regensburg II clean sheet | 38% |
| Ammerthal clean sheet | 52% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ammerthal is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Ammerthal edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Regensburg II vs Ammerthal — FAQ
Who will win Regensburg II vs Ammerthal?
Our statistical model makes Ammerthal the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Regensburg II 26%, draw 34%, Ammerthal 40%.
Will both teams score in Regensburg II vs Ammerthal?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Regensburg II vs Ammerthal?
Expected goals are 0.66 for Regensburg II and 0.96 for Ammerthal — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Regensburg II vs Ammerthal?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (20%). Double chance for Regensburg II or draw is 59%.