Regensburg II vs Cham Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 16:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Regensburg II vs Cham
Model pick: Cham (76%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.22 – 2.04
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Regensburg II | Cham |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 2.25 / 0.25 |
*Regensburg II shown at home, Cham shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Regensburg II — last 5
DDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Cham — last 5
WWWW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Regensburg II (home) | Cham (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.16
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.22 vs 2.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (22%) |
| Double chance — Regensburg II or draw (1X) | 19% |
| Double chance — Cham or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Regensburg II clean sheet | 13% |
| Cham clean sheet | 80% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cham is the model's most likely outcome at
76%. Despite playing away, Cham edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Regensburg II vs Cham — FAQ
Who will win Regensburg II vs Cham?
Our statistical model makes Cham the most likely result at 76%. Full probabilities: Regensburg II 5%, draw 19%, Cham 76%.
Will both teams score in Regensburg II vs Cham?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Regensburg II vs Cham?
Expected goals are 0.22 for Regensburg II and 2.04 for Cham — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Regensburg II vs Cham?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (22%). Double chance for Regensburg II or draw is 19%.