Reggiana vs Ravenna Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Reggiana vs Ravenna
Model pick: Reggiana (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.53 – 0.8
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Reggiana | Ravenna |
|---|
| League position | #18 (37 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.2 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 32% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*Reggiana shown at home, Ravenna shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Reggiana — last 5
LDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Ravenna — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Reggiana (home) | Ravenna (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-7-6 in 19 (1.1 / 1.2 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 46% |
| Top scorer | Cedric Gondo (1) | – |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.53 vs 0.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Reggiana or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Ravenna or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Reggiana clean sheet | 45% |
| Ravenna clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Reggiana is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Reggiana are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Reggiana vs Ravenna — FAQ
Who will win Reggiana vs Ravenna?
Our statistical model makes Reggiana the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Reggiana 51%, draw 27%, Ravenna 22%.
Will both teams score in Reggiana vs Ravenna?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Reggiana vs Ravenna?
Expected goals are 1.53 for Reggiana and 0.8 for Ravenna — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Reggiana vs Ravenna?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Reggiana or draw is 80%.