Reinickendorfer Fuchse vs Mahlsdorf Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) ยท Aug 30, 2026 ยท kickoff 12:00 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Reinickendorfer Fuchse vs Mahlsdorf
Model pick: Reinickendorfer Fuchse (57%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
57%
Reinickendorfer Fuchse
Expected goals: 2.17 โ 1.14
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 57%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Reinickendorfer Fuchse | Mahlsdorf |
| League position | #13 (1 pts) | #9 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.25 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
*Reinickendorfer Fuchse shown at home, Mahlsdorf shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Reinickendorfer Fuchse โ last 5
LLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Mahlsdorf โ last 5
LDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Reinickendorfer Fuchse (home) | Mahlsdorf (away) |
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.17 vs 1.14):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance โ Reinickendorfer Fuchse or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance โ Mahlsdorf or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Reinickendorfer Fuchse clean sheet | 32% |
| Mahlsdorf clean sheet | 11% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Reinickendorfer Fuchse is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Reinickendorfer Fuchse are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Reinickendorfer Fuchse vs Mahlsdorf โ FAQ
Who will win Reinickendorfer Fuchse vs Mahlsdorf?
Our statistical model makes Reinickendorfer Fuchse the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Reinickendorfer Fuchse 57%, draw 22%, Mahlsdorf 21%.
Will both teams score in Reinickendorfer Fuchse vs Mahlsdorf?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Reinickendorfer Fuchse vs Mahlsdorf?
Expected goals are 2.17 for Reinickendorfer Fuchse and 1.14 for Mahlsdorf โ about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Reinickendorfer Fuchse vs Mahlsdorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Reinickendorfer Fuchse or draw is 81%.