Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola
Model pick: Stal Stalowa Wola (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.24 – 1.38
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała | Stal Stalowa Wola |
|---|
| League position | #4 (4 pts) | #9 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Rekord Bielsko-Biała shown at home, Stal Stalowa Wola shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rekord Bielsko-Biała — last 5
WDDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Stal Stalowa Wola — last 5
WDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rekord Bielsko-Biała (home) | Stal Stalowa Wola (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 41% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.24 vs 1.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Rekord Bielsko-Biała or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Stal Stalowa Wola or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała clean sheet | 25% |
| Stal Stalowa Wola clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stal Stalowa Wola is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Stal Stalowa Wola edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola — FAQ
Who will win Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Our statistical model makes Stal Stalowa Wola the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Rekord Bielsko-Biała 34%, draw 27%, Stal Stalowa Wola 39%.
Will both teams score in Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Expected goals are 1.24 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała and 1.38 for Stal Stalowa Wola — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Rekord Bielsko-Biała or draw is 60%.