Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Zawisza Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Zawisza
Model pick: Rekord Bielsko-Biała (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 0.71
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała | Zawisza |
|---|
| League position | #14 (0 pts) | #8 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Rekord Bielsko-Biała shown at home, Zawisza shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rekord Bielsko-Biała — last 5
WWDDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Zawisza — last 5
WWWLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rekord Bielsko-Biała (home) | Zawisza (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 100% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 0.71):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Rekord Bielsko-Biała or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Zawisza or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biała clean sheet | 49% |
| Zawisza clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rekord Bielsko-Biała is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Rekord Bielsko-Biała are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Zawisza — FAQ
Who will win Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Zawisza?
Our statistical model makes Rekord Bielsko-Biała the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Rekord Bielsko-Biała 46%, draw 31%, Zawisza 23%.
Will both teams score in Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Zawisza?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Zawisza?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała and 0.71 for Zawisza — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Zawisza?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Rekord Bielsko-Biała or draw is 78%.