Remo vs Coritiba Prediction & Preview
BrazilA · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BRAZILA
Remo vs Coritiba
Model pick: Remo (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.24 – 0.83
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Remo | Coritiba |
|---|
| League position | #18 (23 pts) | #8 (34 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 27% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Remo shown at home, Coritiba shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Remo — last 5
DLDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 27% of home games go over 2.5.
Coritiba — last 5
DLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Remo (home) | Coritiba (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-5-3 in 11 (1.4 / 1.2 goals per game) | 4-4-4 in 12 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 37% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 48% |
BrazilA — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.38
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these BrazilA averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.24 vs 0.83):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Remo or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Coritiba or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Remo clean sheet | 44% |
| Coritiba clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Remo is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Remo are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Remo vs Coritiba — FAQ
Who will win Remo vs Coritiba?
Our statistical model makes Remo the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Remo 44%, draw 30%, Coritiba 26%.
Will both teams score in Remo vs Coritiba?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Remo vs Coritiba?
Expected goals are 1.24 for Remo and 0.83 for Coritiba — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Remo vs Coritiba?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%). Double chance for Remo or draw is 75%.